Friday, June 23, 2006

a very-short-term bottom, scalping potential already....but don't get too excited....meanwhile, more recession evidence for those in denial....

Well, this was a quick one, as the '2nd phase' likely ended 6/13....Those suggested-by-me 6/13 very-short-term "EVB"-type lows (re-read my Booklets), provided nimble "PSYCLE sm" traders with a bunch of new 'buy-at-those support-level prices' ideas in my NL...So, many corrected-stocks on my lists are/were buyable at those lows, because of so many 'big-one-day-volume days after-such-price-drops', and that 'the 95 %' (who just needlessly lost too much money in the predicted-here/missed-by-them price drops), got so bearish so quickly (again, re-read my Booklets and past NL items), Sentiment also warrant(ed) bounces at least....Of course, one must keep proper perspective (the 95 % have also again gotten way too short-term in their unenlightened outlook)....When/if these ideas breakdown anew/further below their 6/13 lows, after these s.t. pops, I wonder if another downside leg lies ahead, as U know....that "PSYCLE sm" base in the VIX/VXO/VXN was a fantastic signal winner for us recently, check it out....

i am again so proud that I gave out many extended I.G.'s, like, Foreign, Energy, Metals, Leisure, Disc. Brokers, stocks/commods, as Puts/Shorts, (all which the 95 %, as usual, loved mostly at their extended Tops) right at/from their recent semi-parabolic tops, 4 U....Anyway, I also then most-recently added some s.t.-depressed ideas in I.G.'s like, Semis, Techs, Energies, Metals, Health/Biotech-related, busted-blue-chips, Nat. Gas, and others (while Utilities remain among the few 'un-corrected' groups, and R still Puttable at highs), as normal s.t. depressed stocks/commods, at recent lows, for s.t. pops only....(and even some Homebuilding stocks at recent lows ?, but I am NOT as crazy about them)....
Plus, as seemingly only i suggested a little while ago, we C more evidence of Housing/Building price/ind. deterioration - Recall, i predicted the l.t. top in those related Stocks Prices, months ago, along with the top-and-drop in Nat. Gas....neat....How/Y anyone would purposely welcome/accept and hold any idea through a -50 % easily-avoided-and-even-potentially-profited-from price-correction - and still not learn my "Psycle sm" - is beyond me....but then, 'the 95 %' must retain their 'rarely learning/changing/improving' behaviors, which provide the tops to Short, and bottoms to Buy, for US, yes ?

Meanwhile, while we caught a v.s.t. pop in 'bond-related' prices, i may be wrong in predicting a s.t. double-top in Bonds-yields here....Again, among the 'mistakes' they make often, is when the masses try to 'link' news/fundamental/economic/political items, to their often-wrong expectations of future price moves, yes ?, as per my Teachings/Booklets/NL's....Be sure to read the many specific 'news/stocks/commod. items' related to my "PSYCLE sm" timing approach, in recent-past NL's....they provide a wealth (literally) of helpful, employable info. U will not get anywhere else....
Now, we remain kinda cautious here, not expecting any huge price rises, because there remains a decent chance that recent v.s.t. lows may not hold (after coming bounces, dig ?)....But U always employ stops/hedges anyway, and U R not cemented into any 'scenario', right ?, so U have no worries, regardless....knowing my "Psycle sm" is such a help....

Now, recently, here are the hypothetically 'completed trades' specifically recommended via my NL: all the usual signiicant disclaimers and caveats apply: as always, TAKE THE TIME TO ACTUALLY VIEW THEIR 1-2 yr. CHART PATTERNS, to see/learn from the patterns !

most-recent Longisde upside Gainers: VIX, VXO, LLY, 1/2 AMZN, Wheat,
most-recent puts-shorts downside Gainers: GLD, SLV, IYK, HANS, TIE, XOM, CVX, ET, OXPS, COMP, Sugar, Building-Housing stocks,
and took quick, small losses, by cutting these Longsiders, when their patterns broke: Ford, PIR, only....but i wonder if F, NT, LU, might not be fobd's....and these very-small Puts losses: FAL, TNX,
...and, we continue to 'hold' previously-supposedly-bought (cash, margin, calls, where suitable) in the NL at their recent lows (only buyable when/if a/near their recent lows), ideas, like: AMZN, Nat. Gas, CRA, TLT, COP, MAXY, SLV, GLD, SOX, SLR, YHOO, THC, SNDA, JBLU, CD, AMRI, FprS, Oats, Corn, always only with close stops, diversified, suitable, etc.
....and, these NL Puts (puttable only when/if at their recent highs, of course): Crude Oil, UTH, IDU, CLX, C, CVS, SWY, PEP, MRK, ditto....while some other still-extended Util., Grocery/Food/Bev., Consumer, Chem., Energy, Metals, ideas will likely remain puttable, after strength, again....

So, there is lots of 'I.G.R.' around (re-read my Booklets), and, as with fobo's and fobd's recently (ditto), am being cautious/careful here....i wonder if, as I have been predicting, recent highs in predicted-in-my-NL's Parabolic ideas was 'it', after all, for a long, long time, in them, hence.... like, but not limited to, Metals, Energies, R.E., etc.
Remenber this: the 95 % have continued to be wrong, very often, individuals, analysts, economists, Your Govt., the Media, Invmnt. Firms, etc. - and the recent price-drops have proven this for the umpteenth time, as i have chronicled in my output for decades - to mostly easily-taught-but-mostly-puzzlingly-and-disappointingly-deaf ears....I hope to have yet another opportunity hence, soon, to help many people, companies, with my many valuable concepts...pretty darn good, huh.....contact me anytime for aid....re-read my past Bolgs, to 'view more charts of ideas therein'....enjoy,