Thursday, March 06, 2008

an interim Blog, "at a crux point", Why You should ALWAYS have at least "Some" Puts, yes ?

my phone: 949-631-2577
my email: psycles@ca.rr.com

As I have been saying, the recent Lows were, historically/technicals-wise, as good as one normally gets, for at-least-intermediate-term longside buy opps, oversold, etc., as per more details in my NL....the previous predicted-by-me-only big price Declines (re-read my previous NL's), in most Foreign/Chindia, Energy, Solar, Financials, Homebldrs., and more, ideas, which had gone Psycle-stage-4-parabolic, were kinda EZ, and i hope U did well with my Puts in those....But, since the lows, except for a bunch of dead-cat-bounce quick Gains we took, and a few more Takeovers, a ton of equities have been forming s.t. bases, at potential pseudo-support....

Obviously, either we breakdown further, for another 'measured' downleg, or, the longside ideas in my NL will rise, but only up to what seems to be significant overhead resistance - hence my continuing 'simultaneous dual direction positions', i.e., we still hold decent % cash, plus some longs, Calls, and some shorts, Puts, in different, rotating, Industry Groups (re-read my Valuable Educational Illustrative Booklets)....

As the only person around to have also predicted the nice Bounces among smashed Financials-orienteds, R.E.-homes-oriented ideas, Airlines, and Techs of all types, for a whole bunch of new and continuing Gains (see below), and the nice Declines in the groups above, plus Mtg./Bank stocks and more (see below), i still see plenty of opportunities in buying those, plus many high-yield-plus, Depressed ideas/groups, and/while Put-ting some extended Energy, Agri., Metals, Transp., and other similar groups, up here....I still expect many previous-recent-year-trends to reverse, ahead....and, of course, more declines in R.E., which, again, I predicted THE top in, mid-2005, and no one let me help them, so what else is new....and the recent unrealistic-as-always-at-this-stage Mania for Energy, Agri., Metals, smacks of normal, usual, sure Psycle-stage-4 behavior, yes ?, we shall C....

Notice, i have also predicted most all interim % Interest-rate moves, using TYX/TNX/TLT, H.Y. stocks, etc., in my NL's....For many specific 'doable' ideas, here, and plenty of interesting and directly-enlightening 'news-items' which, once you apply my "PSYCLE sm" nuance to them, will actually $ enrich your situation forever forward, please contact me anytime....

Remember, we remove all attachments/emotions/incorrect-mis-beliefs from the choice/trading process, and ignore, or go opposite to, 95 % of all 'news/fundamental/research/media/political' crap out there, and always have preset price targets, and Stop-loss protection....
Spread the word, as i reward referrals....I can help you Learn the Patterns to take advantage of, i can show you how to trade/invest, for your own $ benefit, in pensions, and outside accounts, great....as you have seen....

Why so many wealthy and otherwise successful-in-their-jobs people chose not to cut back on their other-than-home R.E. in 2005 is beyond illogic (why would even monied people choose to purposely give-away hundreds of thousands of dollars, without any Puts on Homebldrs/Banks/Mtg. stocks, which I begged people to doat their highs ?), and is yet more 'Psycle-proof', that the Patterns will continue to repeat, forward, in the same manner and sequence as they almost always have, which is good in a way....learn my concepts, and you can ignore almost everyone else, dig ?. neat....

Now, here's what was 'done' in my 'every-three-weeks' NL, since my last Blog:

a) Quick, Large % Longside Upside Gains, stock, stocks on margin, Calls Options, all bt. near their lows, then sold at resistance, after nice price Rises, in my NL's:

Nat. Gas, PDS, VLCCF, ALCS, CFC, MYL, ODP, CTX, ZION, BPOP, VLCM, CC, AMD, DFR, TER, XLNX, DDS, AMCC, EXAR, INTC, LSI, SCSS, F, JBLU, YHOO, S., AMR, SOXX, SMH, VC, MU, RAD, MOT, KDE, KLAC, XMSR, SIRI, EXG, RGC, BRNC, RYL, BFTH, TOL, PLUG, IP, TYX, CCU, SGP, CMCSA, VCI, GMST, AID, TRID, TNX, UMC, FRPT, MCHX, TSL, PWE, HERO, LONG, USU, Pork Bellies, Feeder Cattle, Lean Hogs, Sugar,

b) but, we had to sell/cut these for quick, very small Losses, of little consequence in a properly diversified portfolio, when they brokedown below their support, or below their budding basing Patterns:

TLGD, TSEM, ZHNE, NEWP, CPNLQ, GERN, PMTI, NT, CAMD, DITC, IRSN, USU, BRLC, HLYS, FCS, DXY, MVSN, PTRY, ADPT, PPH, AVR, CNXT, BLC, KG,

c) Quick, Large % Puts/Shorts Gains, sold-short-stock, bt. Puts Options, near their highs, then sold after big price Drops to support or oversold levels, in my NL's:

OMTR, ECLP, LFL, UAM, UPL, NFX, DRYS, JTX, TOT, TEF, BMC, CHU, CN, CB, CBH, HON, RYN, VIX, VXN, VXO, TLT, X, DE, AIZ, SPWR, FSLR, ESLR, ADM, COP, XOM, INTC, OIH, OIX, OSXX, NMX, CPLA, CVH, EWJ, JPN, HPQ, NVZMF, RTN, RIO, TSL, SKYW, ISIS, SOHU, CHL, BIDU, RDSA, AVP, DODFX, BG, GGB, JRJC, PTR, GOOG, CVX, OXPS, FXI, RIMM, SPY, INDU, COMP, RUT, GRMN, LPHI, NDAQ, AKS, CMQR, GMCR, FCL, AGP, CSTR, IIG, Wheat again, Lean Hogs, Pork Bellies, Live cattle, Feeder Cattle, the FTSE index England, the Nikkei index, the Germany DAX index, the Toronto TSX index, the France CAC index, Crude Oil @ 86, the Heng Seng index....wow, pretty good, huh....and you still don't take advantage of price declines ?, why not ?

d) but had to sell/cut/cover these, when they Rose up above resistance, instead of falling, for quick very small Losses of little consequence in a properly diversified portfolio:

UPL, HP, XME, AEM, DVN, EURO, CLR, APA, FCL, NFX, Htg. Oil, Crude Oil, Cocoa, Coffee, Palladium, GLD, SLV, Wheat,

Last, remember, 'elections/politics' has Never mattered, and, in FACT, there has been NO "directly-applicable-price-predictive-correlation", among: all kinds of stocks, interest rates, the Fed, the Dollar/Euro/currencies, energy/grains/other-commodity prices, or News items of any kind, historically....STOP over-following 'news/stories' ! ....I will show/teach you exactly how to Predict future price movements FROM the (only) 5 % of news-stories worth examining ! ....ignore eveything else....do better, save time and money, make more money, with less stress....wishing you well as always, till next time, contact me, and get everyone you know to join us....enjoy -- we are....